Is Chiliz Undervalued? Current Price Analysis and Outlook

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Chiliz (CHZ), the native cryptocurrency powering fan engagement platforms for sports and entertainment, is currently trading at $0.0435 — marking a 2.339% increase over the past 24 hours. This modest rebound offers a brief pause after a prolonged downtrend, sparking renewed interest among investors questioning whether Chiliz is now undervalued. While short-term momentum shows slight recovery, broader trends remain bearish across weekly, monthly, and yearly timeframes.

In contrast to Bitcoin’s 1.69% gain in the same 24-hour window, Chiliz has outperformed its larger counterpart — a rare occurrence that may signal shifting dynamics within the altcoin market. However, deeper analysis reveals a more complex picture shaped by technical indicators, volatility metrics, and macro-level adoption trends.


Chiliz Price Performance: Weekly, Monthly & Yearly Trends

Despite the recent daily uptick, Chiliz continues to face downward pressure over longer horizons:

Just one month ago, CHZ was valued at $0.0601 — today's price of $0.0435 reflects a significant drop. Similarly, on March 14, 2024, Chiliz traded as high as $0.1597, indicating that it has lost over two-thirds of its value in the past year. Although the current price sits slightly above the annual low of $0.04, it remains far below its peak near $0.16.

This sustained decline suggests weakened investor confidence or broader sector challenges affecting blockchain-based fan token ecosystems.

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Chiliz Price in Euros: Currency Conversion Impact

When converted to euros using the current exchange rate (1 USD ≈ 0.92 EUR), Chiliz trades at approximately €0.04 per token. However, due to fluctuations in the USD/EUR rate — which stood at 0.97 EUR per USD a month ago — the euro-denominated performance appears even weaker.

This highlights an often-overlooked factor: fiat currency volatility can amplify perceived losses for international investors holding crypto assets priced primarily in U.S. dollars.


Technical Indicators: Is Chiliz Oversold?

To assess whether Chiliz presents a buying opportunity, traders often turn to key technical indicators that measure momentum, trend strength, and valuation extremes.

RSI: Strong Signal of Undervaluation

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. Values below 30 typically indicate oversold conditions — a potential precursor to a price rebound.

Currently, Chiliz’s RSI stands at 25.732, firmly in oversold territory. This suggests that selling pressure may have been exhausted and that the market could be due for a correction. Historically, such readings have preceded rallies when paired with positive catalysts like platform upgrades or increased exchange listings.

SMA200: Bearish Long-Term Trend

The Simple Moving Average (SMA) over 200 days serves as a benchmark for long-term trend direction. With Chiliz trading at $0.0435 and the SMA200 at $0.09, the current price is nearly 52% below this critical average.

This wide gap signals persistent bearish sentiment and indicates that long-term holders are still underwater. A sustained move above the SMA200 would be needed to confirm a reversal in trend — something yet to materialize.

VWAP: Neutral Short-Term Signal

The Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP) is widely used in day trading to identify fair value based on both price and trading volume throughout the day. At present, VWAP sits around $0.04, with CHZ trading slightly above at $0.0435 — a margin of less than 3%.

Since moves under 3% from VWAP are considered neutral, this does not provide a strong directional signal. It does suggest, however, that intraday buyers are stepping in modestly without triggering aggressive upward momentum.

IndicatorValueInterpretation
RSI25.732Oversold / Bullish
SMA200$0.09Price below / Bearish
VWAP$0.04Slight premium / Neutral

How Many Chiliz Tokens Can You Buy?

At the current rate of $0.0435 (or €0.04), investors can acquire substantial quantities of CHZ even with modest capital:

This accessibility makes Chiliz appealing to retail investors seeking exposure to niche blockchain applications in sports and entertainment.


Market Cap and Circulating Supply

As of March 13, 2025, there are 9,460,831,038 CHZ tokens in circulation. Multiplying this by the current price yields a market capitalization of approximately $411.5 million, placing Chiliz around rank #95 on CoinMarketCap-style rankings.

While not among the top-tier cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin or Ethereum, this mid-tier positioning reflects its specialized use case: powering fan voting, rewards, and NFT integrations on platforms like Socios.com.

However, smaller market cap assets tend to carry higher risk — including susceptibility to pump-and-dump schemes and delisting from major exchanges during downturns.


Volatility: High Risk, High Reward?

One key metric illustrating Chiliz’s risk profile is the coefficient of variation (CV) — a statistical measure of price dispersion relative to the mean. Over the past 30 days, Chiliz has registered a CV of 172.67%, indicating extremely high volatility.

For context:

A high CV means investors should expect dramatic swings — both up and down — making Chiliz suitable only for those with a high-risk tolerance and long-term conviction.


Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

Q: Is Chiliz a good investment right now?
A: While technically oversold and potentially undervalued, Chiliz remains in a strong downtrend. Investors should weigh its high volatility and niche utility before allocating funds.

Q: What causes Chiliz’s price to move?
A: Key drivers include fan token demand, partnerships with sports teams, exchange listings/deliveries, broader crypto market sentiment, and developments on the Chiliz Chain.

Q: Can Chiliz recover its previous highs?
A: A recovery depends on increased adoption of fan tokens and ecosystem growth. Without stronger real-world usage, reaching prior peaks will be challenging.

Q: How does RSI help predict price changes?
A: An RSI below 30 suggests overselling and possible upward correction; above 70 indicates overbuying and potential pullback.

Q: Where can I buy Chiliz securely?
A: Major exchanges support CHZ trading pairs. Always use secure wallets and enable two-factor authentication.

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Final Thoughts: Contradictory Signals Demand Caution

Chiliz presents a classic case of conflicting technical signals:

Such divergence underscores why expert consensus warns against treating crypto as a standalone investment vehicle. Most financial advisors recommend limiting crypto exposure to a small percentage of a diversified portfolio.

Ultimately, while Chiliz may appear undervalued based on RSI metrics, structural weaknesses in price momentum and market cap suggest caution. Long-term success hinges not on speculation but on actual adoption within sports fandom and digital engagement platforms.

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Disclaimer: This article does not constitute financial advice or investment recommendation. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Conduct independent research before making any decisions.